Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: Selective Use of Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Locally advanced rectal cancer has high cure rates with trimodal therapy. Studies sparing neoadjuvant chemoradiation in selected patients show comparable outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of selective use of neoadjuvant chemoradiation in this population. DESIGN: A cost-effectiveness analysis model compared selective and blanket use chemoradiation for locally advanced rectal cancer. SETTINGS: Literature review, expert consensus, and a prospective database populated the model. Health care utilization costs were based on information from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. PATIENTS: Adult patients with stage II and III rectal cancer were selected. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES: Primary outcomes were cost, effectiveness in quality-adjusted disease-free life years, net monetary benefit, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in dollars per quality-adjusted disease-free life years. Base-case 5-year disease-free survival for both strategies was 65%. One-way sensitivity analysis found the probability of 5-year disease-free survival for selective ranged between 40% and 65%. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis assessed second-order variability. RESULTS: Base-case 5-year disease-free survival demonstrated selective use is dominant with lower cost and higher quality-adjusted disease-free life years. For selective use, cost is $153,176, effectiveness is 2.71 quality-adjusted life years, and net monetary benefit is -$17,564 and for blanket use cost is $176,362, effectiveness is 2.64 quality-adjusted life years, and net monetary benefit is -$44,217. One-way sensitivity analysis shows selective use is dominant for disease-free survival above 61.25% and is preferred for disease-free survival above 53.7%. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis shows selective use is optimal in 88% of the iterations for a population of 10,000 patients. LIMITATIONS: Model was based on data from the literature, prospective database, and expert consensus. CONCLUSION: In a population of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer with base-case disease-free survival of 65%, selective use of neoadjuvant chemoradiation is the superior strategy as long as disease-free survival in this group remains above 53%. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/C199. ANLISIS DE COSTOEFECTIVIDAD USO SELECTIVO DE QUIMIORRADIACIN NEOADYUVANTE EN CNCER DE RECTO LOCALMENTE AVANZADO: ANTECEDENTES:El cáncer de recto localmente avanzado tiene altas tasas de curación con la terapia trimodal. Los estudios que evitan la quimiorradiación neoadyuvante en pacientes seleccionados muestran resultados comparables.OBJETIVO:Determinar la relación costo-efectividad del uso selectivo de quimiorradiación neoadyuvante en esta población.DISEÑO:Un modelo de análisis de costo-efectividad comparó la quimiorradiación selectiva y de uso general para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado.AJUSTES:Revisión de literatura, consenso de expertos y una base de datos prospectiva poblaron el modelo. Los costos de utilización de la atención médica se basaron en los Centros de Servicios de Medicare y Medicaid.PACIENTES:Se seleccionaron pacientes adultos con cáncer de recto en estadio II y III.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADOS:Los resultados primarios fueron el costo, efectividad en años de vida sin enfermedad ajustados por calidad, el beneficio monetario neto y la relación costo-efectividad incremental en $/años de vida sin enfermedad ajustados por calidad. La supervivencia libre de enfermedad a 5 años del caso base para ambas estrategias fue del 65%. El análisis de sensibilidad unidireccional varió la probabilidad de supervivencia libre de enfermedad a 5 años para uso selectivo entre 40%-65%. El análisis de sensibilidad probabilístico evaluó la variabilidad de segundo orden.RESULTADOS:El caso base de 5 años de supervivencia libre de enfermedad demostró que el uso selectivo es dominante con menor costo y años de vida libre de enfermedad ajustados de mayor calidad. El costo, la efectividad y el beneficio monetario neto para el uso selectivo y general fueron ($153 176; 2,71 QALY; -$17 564) y ($176 362; 2,64 QALY; -$44 217). El análisis de sensibilidad unidireccional demostró que el uso selectivo es dominante para la supervivencia sin enfermedad por encima del 61,25% y se prefiere para la supervivencia sin enfermedad por encima del 53,7%. El análisis de sensibilidad probabilístico demostró que el uso selectivo es óptimo en el 88% de las iteraciones para una población de 10 000 pacientes.LIMITACIONES:Modelo basado en datos de literatura, base de datos prospectiva y consenso de expertos.CONCLUSIÓN:En una población de pacientes con cáncer de recto localmente avanzado con caso base de supervivencia libre de enfermedad del 65%, el uso selectivo de quimiorradiación neoadyuvante para el cáncer de recto localmente avanzado es la estrategia superior, siempre y cuando la supervivencia libre de enfermedad en este grupo se mantenga por encima del 53%. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/C199. (Traducción-Dr. Fidel Ruiz Healy).

Predictors and Consequences of Unplanned Conversion to Open During Robotic Colectomy: An ACS-NSQIP Database Analysis.

Robotic-assisted surgery has become a desired modality for performing colectomy; however, unplanned conversion to an open procedure may be associated with worse outcomes. The purpose of this study is to examine predictors and consequences of unplanned conversion to open in a large, high fidelity data set. A retrospective analysis of 11 061 robotic colectomies was conducted using the American College of Surgeons - National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) 2012-2017 database. Predictors of conversion and the effect of conversion on outcomes were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression resulting in risk-adjusted odds ratios of conversion and morbidity/mortality. Overall, 10 372 (93.8%) patients underwent successful robotic colectomy, and 689 (6.2%) had an unplanned conversion. Predictors of conversion included age ≥ 65 years, male gender, obesity, functional status not independent, American Society of Anesthesia (ASA) classification IV-V, non-oncologic indication, emergency case, smoking, recent weight loss, bleeding disorder, and preoperative organ space infection. Conversion is an independent risk factor for mortality, overall morbidity, cardiac morbidity, pulmonary morbidity, renal morbidity, venous thromboembolism morbidity, wound morbidity, sepsis, bleeding, readmission, return to the operating room, and extended length of stay (LOS). Unplanned conversion to open during robotic colectomy is an independent predictor of morbidity and mortality.